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Baseline definition for AI process assessment

Process optimisation with AI becomes unreliable when the current process is only partially known. We found that process assessment requires a factual baseline before inference can safely become redesign.

What we were testing ?

Process analysis appears to be a natural GenAI use case: provide process documentation, reconstruct the workflow, identify inefficiencies and propose an AI-enabled future state.

The real problem emerged when we challenged how much of that reconstructed workflow was actually known, and more importantly real.

What we observed ?

When assessing a process or workflow, any incomplete evidence can create ambiguity because a missing step can mean:

  • the activity does not exist;
  • the activity exists but was never documented;
  • it occurs only in exceptions;
  • users bypass the prescribed process;
  • a tool limitation creates additional work;
  • poor data creates an apparent process problem.

An LLM can produce a plausible interpretation for each of these situations. However, plausibility is only useful for generating a hypothesis : it cannot be enough to establish the factual process baseline.

If the system fills missing information through inference and then redesigns the reconstructed workflow, it may end up optimising a process that never actually existed !

What we changed

Two major elements had to be separated: reconstruction versus optimisation.

The working sequence became:

Evidence
↓
Factual AS-IS
↓
Human validation
↓
Diagnosis
↓
AI suitability assessment
↓
Potential redesign

Process extraction became an important visible step rather than an invisible intermediate result.

Each extracted step exposes information such as:

activity
role
system
decision point
description

This allows the reconstructed process to be challenged before downstream scoring or redesign begins, while AI inference remains useful for identifying:

  • possible missing activities;
  • inconsistent handoffs;
  • unexplained decisions;
  • suspected exceptions;
  • opportunities for automation or augmentation.

But we retain them as hypotheses until they are validated.

What we retained ?

The practical rule is simple:

AI can propose what might be missing, but it should not silently convert that proposal into process fact.

During assessment, information therefore needs to be treated differently depending on its status.

A - Evidence-backed

The information is directly supported by the available material and can contribute to the factual baseline.

B - Inferred

The system has identified a plausible missing step, relationship or explanation.

It can generate a question or hypothesis, but cannot yet be treated as part of the AS-IS.

C - Validated

The proposed interpretation has been confirmed during review and can now become part of the baseline.

This creates a useful operating rule:

Evidence-backed
+
Validated
→ baseline

Inferred only
→ hypothesis / validation required

This distinction becomes critical because every later assessment - friction analysis, AI suitability, automation potential and redesign - inherits the quality of the baseline.

A wrong baseline does not simply create a wrong process map; it contaminates everything that follows.

Takeaway

Inference is valuable during process assessment. Redesign should only begin once a sufficiently reliable baseline exists otherwise AI risks optimising its own reconstruction, which would then turn a plausible hypothesis into a very convincing hallucination.